New York Mets
East Division
Playoff Probability
Bubble Team
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: ATL’s 17-2 Rout Sends an Early Warning Across the NL — Apr 3, 2026 →San Francisco Giants beat New York Mets 7-2, a clean result that nudged San Francisco to 37.4% playoff odds and 81 projected wins. The Giants are still behind the top tier, but a 7-2 road to this point in the season is the kind of early evidence the simulations reward.
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Live playoff odds
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Projected wins
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