Seattle Mariners
West Division
Playoff Probability
Bubble Team
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: Colorado and Detroit Keep Climbing While Philadelphia and Atlanta Hang on by a Thread — Apr 3, 2026 →Seattle is the early-season warning light. The Mariners are 3-4, yet still at 51.5% playoff odds, which says the model is waiting for more evidence. Atlanta is in a stronger position at 5-2 and 62.8%, and that makes them a short-term riser even without much separation from the pack.
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